Yogi Berra said, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”  But here goes. Barring a major political earthquake, Ted Cruz will be the GOP nominee later this year.

As the primaries get under way, two or three candidates will quickly emerge.  Based on the voting blocks which are apparent in the current polling, and their likely moves as the options narrow, the most likely result is a Cruz win, perhaps by a landslide.

With a strong anti-establishment sentiment among GOP voters, 65% are going for one of the opposition candidates, either Donald Trump (35%), Ted Cruz (20%), or Ben Carson (10%), according to recent RCP averages.  These voters are angry that the Republicans have done so little to resist Obama and advance a conservative agenda.  They remember how establishment candidates McCain and Romney fared in 2008 and 2012.  They will not be appeased.

That leaves only 35% for the GOP establishment candidates to fight over, led by Marco Rubio (now 11%), Chris Christie (5%), and Jeb Bush (3%).  Beyond these three, nobody has more than 3%.  There is no path to victory for any of them, with the possible exception of Rubio.  Some might question whether Rubio should be considered as part of the establishment, but rightly or wrongly, many voters think so.

Read the article “Ted Cruz Will Be the GOP Nominee” on townhall.com.