About 20 years ago, public-health researcher Garen J. Wintemute predicted that The Crossover was nigh: Soon, more Americans would be killed with guns than with motor vehicles.

He’d previously estimated that this would happen by 2004, and possibly as early as 1994. Now, looking at preliminary 1993 data from the CDC, he found that the two mechanisms of death were so close that the remaining difference was within the margin of error. And given current trends, it was “almost certain” that guns would be the leader for “some time”:

Read the article “Guns vs. Cars (and Drugs)” on realclearpolicy.com.