Polls: Trump Now Tied With Hillary After Convention and DNC Email Scandal

By Dustin Siggins Published on July 25, 2016

A series of new polls show GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump in a statistical tie with presumed Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton — a dramatic reversal from just days ago, when Clinton was well ahead.

According to the newest Real Clear Politics (RCP) average of recent polls, Trump leads Clinton by 0.2 percentage points, 44.1 percent to 43.9 percent in a head-to-head race. While this means the candidates are in a statistically dead heat, this is a significant change from most recent polls, where Trump was several points behind.

Trump is closing the gap in other theoretical poll combinations, as well. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson’s inclusion in the polling has Clinton up by 0.4 points, and Clinton leads Trump by 0.6 points when Green Party nominee Jill Stein is included in the polling.

The new numbers look at most of the major polls conducted in the last two weeks. However, they come at an opportune time for Trump — days after a raucous Republican Convention where a prominent Senator refused to endorse his candidacy, and a day after Democrats saw an email scandal verify liberal concerns that the Democratic National Committee worked with the Clinton campaign to stop insurgent Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT).

RCP is not the only top polling group showing Trump reversing months of losing in the polls. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight shows the media mogul with nearly 60 percent odds of winning the White House in November compared to approximately 20 percent in late June. A CNN poll out Monday put Trump’s convention “bounce” at 6 points, enough to push him to a 3 point lead nationally.

If tradition holds, Clinton could expect at least some bounce herself from this week’s Democratic Convention. The four-day event, starring the former First Lady, her VP pick Senator Tim Kaine (R-VA), Sanders and President Barack Obama — among many others — gets underway today.

 

Print Friendly, PDF & Email

Like the article? Share it with your friends! And use our social media pages to join or start the conversation! Find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, MeWe and Gab.

Inspiration
In the End, We Get What We Want
Jim Tonkowich
More from The Stream
Connect with Us