Analysis: Who’s Really Leading the Presidential Race?
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are leading in the polls for the Republican and Democratic, respectively, presidential nominee, but those polls are not the best indicator of which candidates are currently the strongest. There are better ways to measure who has the best chance of winning the nomination.
Asking voters who they would vote for if the election were held today favors the candidates with the highest name recognition. The candidates who usually win, however, are those who are most acceptable to the broadest range of a party’s factions and considered able to win the election.
There are three other measures that, this early in the race, will provide a better picture of who is actually most likely to win the nomination.
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